Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.167632 0.194267 0.223771 0.258879 0.299529 0.345133 0.400199
2025-07-13 0.130136 0.166955 0.212031 0.271300 0.347250 0.441418 0.567236
2025-07-20 0.109229 0.150329 0.204246 0.280211 0.384636 0.523399 0.722284
2025-07-27 0.094921 0.138336 0.198592 0.288412 0.419169 0.603046 0.882175
2025-08-03 0.082668 0.126596 0.190607 0.290801 0.444085 0.670478 1.031709
2025-08-10 0.071648 0.114681 0.180175 0.287262 0.458532 0.722831 1.163783
2025-08-17 0.061506 0.102493 0.167395 0.277820 0.461725 0.757106 1.270399
2025-08-24 0.056316 0.097421 0.164948 0.284169 0.490340 0.834034 1.454357
2025-08-31 0.050970 0.091307 0.159888 0.285224 0.509730 0.897234 1.621871
2025-09-07 0.046862 0.086755 0.156814 0.289093 0.534028 0.970893 1.815654
2025-09-14 0.041876 0.079974 0.148957 0.283280 0.539926 1.012107 1.954557
2025-09-21 0.038028 0.074811 0.143385 0.280896 0.551625 1.064696 2.120247
2025-09-28 0.035016 0.070963 0.139967 0.282484 0.571624 1.136123 2.333322
2025-10-05 0.033658 0.070226 0.142461 0.296025 0.616893 1.261862 2.671131
2025-10-12 0.031998 0.068654 0.143080 0.305753 0.655408 1.378192 3.003416
2025-10-19 0.030405 0.067016 0.143345 0.314706 0.693218 1.497074 3.355305
2025-10-26 0.028384 0.064206 0.140820 0.317314 0.717554 1.589981 3.661282
2025-11-02 0.026030 0.060372 0.135654 0.313451 0.727017 1.651447 3.903562
2025-11-09 0.023429 0.055670 0.128045 0.303143 0.720554 1.676542 4.064386
2025-11-16 0.022332 0.054338 0.127884 0.310074 0.754999 1.798648 4.470213
2025-11-23 0.020933 0.052119 0.125423 0.311226 0.775720 1.890826 4.814117
2025-11-30 0.019848 0.050539 0.124288 0.315449 0.804376 2.004991 5.226489
2025-12-07 0.018231 0.047443 0.119153 0.309103 0.805799 2.052525 5.474023